Gavin Newsom's Presidential Ambitions: Can He Become the Next President in 2024?

The 2024 presidential race is heating up, and several notable figures are already throwing their hats into the ring. One in particular, Gavin Newsom, has been making headlines for his potential candidacy. Despite his recent performance as the Governor of California, many questions remain about his viability as a presidential candidate.

Newsom's Record in California

Newsom's tenure as the Governor of California has brought both praise and criticism. Critics argue that his administration has a 'horrible record,' citing various issues such as water management, immigration, and social policies. Supporters, however, highlight his accomplishments, such as his efforts in renewable energy and progressive social reforms.

His performance raises the question of whether he will make it past the primary elections in a crowded field. Additionally, the role of Kamala Harris in the Democratic race is often discussed. Many believe that she is the most likely candidate to run for president, given her current position as Vice President. The belief is that Joshua Shapiro, a potential contender, is less likely to gain significant traction.

Electability and Political Alignment

Electability is a critical factor in determining a candidate's success in a general election. Newsom, while charismatic and well-spoken, faces significant challenges in this regard. His politics are seen as very liberal, which may not resonate with a broader electorate. A study of voter sentiment and political leanings reveals that a large portion of the U.S. population does not support his policies.

Experts argue that while Newsom could technically be the Democratic nominee if President Biden steps aside, it is unlikely that he will win in a general election. Key reasons include:

The perception of Newsom as a champion of 'woke' policies may alienate a significant portion of voters in several swing states. Newsom's potential to 'double dip' from California's support in a presidential election might not be advantageous for the party, especially given that California's vote is almost certain. His liberal reputation and policies are not aligned with the political center, making it difficult for him to attract moderate voters from both sides of the aisle.

Support and Opposition

Supporters of Newsom argue that he has been successful in his home state. They point to his efforts in promoting renewable energy, addressing climate change, and advancing progressive social policies. However, these policies are viewed critically by many voters who are concerned about economic growth and conservative values.

Opponents, such as those quoted in the original text, question the wisdom of Newsom running in 2024 given his poor approval ratings and the crowded field of candidates. They suggest that he should wait until 2028 when political conditions may be more favorable.

Key Takeaways

The current political climate strongly suggests that Newsom's chances of becoming the next president in 2024 are slim. While he could technically run, the electability and political landscape make his candidacy less likely compared to other potential candidates like Kamala Harris. Harris, with her existing position and access to the Biden campaign's resources, is more likely to be the Democratic nominee.

As the 2024 race continues to unfold, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out and which candidate emerges as the strongest contender for the presidency.

Keywords: Gavin Newsom, 2024 Presidential Race, Kamala Harris